Document Type

Article

Publication Date

8-2013

Publication Title

Significance

Volume

10

Issue

4

First Page

15

Last Page

18

Abstract

Media pundits are the supreme example of self-belief and confidence in their own opinions. Through TV, newspapers and blogs they tell us with sublime certainty what will happen. But are they right? And does it matter if they are wrong? Ben Smith and Jadrian Wooten ask what we demand from pundits – accuracy or confidence?

Comments

This is the peer reviewed version of the following article: Smith, B., & Wooten, J. (2013). Pundits: The confidence trick: Better confident than right?. Significance, 10(4), 15-18., which has been published in final form at http://doi.org/10.1111/j.1740-9713.2013.00675.x. This article may be used for non-commercial purposes in accordance with Wiley Terms and Conditions for Self-Archiving.

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Economics Commons

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